ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says (2024)

The European Central Bank could lower borrowing costs in both June and July, should disinflation in the euro zone be stronger than anticipated, Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus said.

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ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says (1)

Bloomberg News

Alexander Weber

Published Apr 19, 20241 minute read

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ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says (2)

(Bloomberg) — The European Central Bank could lower borrowing costs in both June and July, should disinflation in the euro zone be stronger than anticipated, Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus said.

The Lithuanian official said Europe can afford a “less restrictive monetary-policy stance” when the ECB meets in seven weeks’ time. But he said that initial reduction in the deposit rate — currently at a record-high 4% — is just part of a “series” of steps.

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ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says (3)

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“It’s all about data,” he said in an interview in Washington. “If disinflation is faster than in our projections, and if we have to lower our growth forecast for this year once again, that could form the basis for a cut in July.”

His view is at odds with some members of the ECB’s 26-strong Governing Council, who fret about delays in loosening by the Federal Reserve and the potential for rising Middle Eastern tensions to roil energy markets.

Speaking earlier Thursday, Austria’s Robert Holzmann said ECB policy probably can’t stray “too far away” from that of the Fed, and again stressed concerns over geopolitical uncertainty.

His Dutch counterpart Klaas Knot was a little more optimistic, however, telling Bloomberg Television that an oil-price shock may be easier to withstand at the moment since “it will be against a backdrop of general disinflation.”

Three of even four reductions in borrowing costs are possible in 2024, according to Simkus.

“The macroeconomic projections in June, September and December may form the basis for a gradual, consistent easing of the monetary-policy stance in three cuts,” he said. “I think three cuts this year is consistent with the baseline. Whether we’ll have four will depend on the data.”

—With assistance from Mark Schroers.

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ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says (2024)

FAQs

ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says? ›

ECB Could Make Back-to-Back Summer Rate Cuts, Simkus Says

How does the ECB make decisions? ›

Meetings and decisions

The Governing Council usually meets twice a month. It assesses economic and monetary developments and takes its monetary policy decisions every six weeks. At the other meetings, the Council discusses mainly issues related to other tasks and responsibilities of the ECB and the Eurosystem.

What is the interest rate of the European Central Bank? ›

After July 2022, the ECB increased its fixed interest rate almost monthly. As of December 2023, the rate was 4.5 percent, the highest since the global financial crisis in 2007 and 2008. The ECB's interest rate is the rate that it offers to banks for overnight loans.

What is the highest decision-making body of the ECB? ›

The Governing Council

The Governing Council is the main decision-making body of the ECB. It consists of the six members of the ECB's Executive Board, plus the governors of the national central banks of the 20 euro area countries.

Who controls the ECB? ›

The ECB is directly governed by European Union law. Its capital stock, worth €11 billion, is owned by all 27 central banks of the EU member states as shareholders.

Who has the highest interest rates in Europe? ›

The central bank of Hungary set the key interest rate to 13 percent on the 28th of September, making it the highest central bank interest rate in the EU as of September 2023.

Which bank gives highest interest rate in Europe? ›

Which country has the highest interest rate on a savings account? The Central Bank of Hungary had a base rate of 13% in 2023. This makes Hungary the country in Europe with the highest interest rate on a savings account.

How often does the ECB set interest rates? ›

The Governing Council, the main decision-making body of the ECB, usually meets every two weeks. Every six weeks, it takes its monetary policy decision, i.e. setting the key interest rates for the euro area.

Who makes monetary policy decisions in ECB? ›

From January 2015, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank will analyse and make decisions on monetary policy at the meetings held every six weeks.

How does the ECB work? ›

The European Central Bank (ECB) manages the euro and frames and implements EU economic & monetary policy. Its main aim is to keep prices stable, thereby supporting economic growth and job creation.

How does the ECB conduct monetary policy? ›

Monetary policy decisions

We take decisions on monetary policy every six weeks – determining what should be done to keep inflation at our 2% target. Right after the decisions are taken, the President and Vice-President explain them in detail in a press conference.

How is the ECB held accountable? ›

Under Article 284 (3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, the ECB is primarily accountable to the European Parliament, where the interests of EU citizens are represented. But it also has to report regularly to the Council of the EU, which represents the governments of all EU Member States.

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